China pursuing a military base in Sri Lanka: US claims

China is reportedly exploring the possibility of establishing military facilities in various countries, including Sri Lanka, in a bid to bolster their power projection capabilities and safeguard national interests, a latest report by US Intelligence Community revealed.

The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) will continue to pursue the establishment of overseas military installations and access agreements in an attempt to project power and protect China’s interests abroad,” the annual threat assessment of the US Intelligence Community 2024 stated this week.

“Beyond developing its military base in Djibouti and its military facility at Ream Naval Base in Cambodia, Beijing reportedly is considering pursuing military facilities in multiple locations, including—but not limited to—Burma, Cuba, Equatorial Guinea, Pakistan, Seychelles, Sri Lanka, Tajikistan, Tanzania, and the UAE,” it said.

Beijing will focus on building a fully modernized national defense and military force by 2035 and for the PLA to become a world-class military by 2049, the 40-page report stated.

The report, outlining the collective insights of the US intelligence community, says the US “…faces an increasingly fragile global order, strained by great power competition, transnational challenges and regional conflicts”.

It further cautions that China, Iran and Russia are challenging the current international rules-based order.

Basil wants general election first for a “balanced” Sri Lanka parliament

Sri Lanka’s next parliament will be a more balanced one if parliamentary elections are held before a presidential election and won’t result in any one party monopolising political power, Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP) national organiser Basil Rajapaksa said.

In an exclusive interview given to the privately owned NewsFirst network on Thursday March 14 , Rajapaksa said power should not be concentrated around one party.

“The party that wins the presidential election may secure unlimited power. I don’t think that’s a good situation. So before that, so as not to be influenced by the result of the presidential election, if the parliamentary election is held first, that will result in a more balanced parliament,” he said.

“No one will be washed away or disappear. This was why the proportional representation system was introduced. We showed that that was of no use,” he added.

Rajapaksa said that following the 2019 presidential election, which the SLPP won in a landslide securing 6.9 million votes, the parliamentary elections that were held in 2020 after some delays due to the pandemic proved hugely beneficial to his party.

“We got a two thirds’ majority, which is unlimited power. The people must decide if it is right to give that much power to one party,” he said.

Asked by the interview if Rajapaksa was saying the SLPP should not have won so big, he said: “There is a belief in the country that both the presidency and the two thirds’ majority concentrated in one place is not ideal.”

Constitutionally, Sri Lanka’s next presidential election is due to be held between September 17 and October 17 this year. President Ranil Wickremesinghe, who heads a government led by the formerly rival SLPP, has said that the presidential election will be held before a parliamentary election.

But Wickremesinghe hasn’t yet said definitively that he intends to contest the election.

Government spokesmen have also alluded to proposals of abolishing the executive presidency this year, which would effectively render the prospects of a presidential election null and void.

The SLPP is currently trailing behind other parties in at least one voting intent poll.

Indian High Commissioner meets Basil

High Commissioner of India to Sri Lanka met former Finance Minister and Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP) founder Basil Rajapaksa yesterday.

During the discussion, they exchanged views on bilateral relations, political developments and other subjects of mutual interest.

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IMF Should Oppose Restrictions On Freedoms in Sri Lanka – HRW

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) should urge Sri Lanka’s government to abandon draft legislation that would severely curtail civil society and jeopardize the IMF’s program in the country, Human Rights Watch (HRW) has said in a letter to the global lender that was released today (March 13).

Issuing a statement in this regard, the HRW – an international non-governmental organization that conducts research and advocacy on human right – highlighted that the proposed Non-Governmental Organizations (Registration and Supervision) Act in Sri Lanka is among several recent and planned measures that would curtail fundamental freedoms, despite the critical role of public scrutiny in promoting good governance and combatting corruption.

“The IMF’s US$3 billion bailout of Sri Lanka – which is linked to government commitments to reform – helped stem the immediate economic crisis after the country defaulted on its foreign debt in 2022, but further progress is threatened by the adoption of laws by President Ranil Wickremesinghe’s administration that would severely restrict basic rights”, it mentioned.

The statement also points out that the Online Safety Act, enacted in January, creates vague and broad speech-related offenses punishable with lengthy prison terms. Further, the Anti-Terrorism Bill, currently before parliament, contains sweeping new speech-related offenses and arbitrary powers of arrest, and the draft law to regulate nongovernmental organizations could make independent civil society activity all but impossible in Sri Lanka, it said.

“As the economy collapsed in 2022, Sri Lankans demanded good governance and an end to corruption, but instead now face draconian laws and policies that threaten human rights and undermine reforms,” said Meenakshi Ganguly, deputy Asia director at Human Rights Watch. “The protests helped bring President Wickremesinghe to power, but instead of listening to calls for change, he’s clamping down on peaceful dissent.”

The HRW citing a 2023 IMF study of Sri Lanka known as the Governance Diagnostic Assessment, stated that “anticorruption efforts are unlikely to achieve their objectives unless they also encompass initiatives designed and led by groups outside of government who are committed to rule-based inclusive economic and social progress.”

However, the study found that civil society’s participation in oversight and monitoring of government actions has been “restricted by limited transparency, the lack of platforms for inclusive and participatory governance, and by broad application of counter-terrorism rules.” As a result, “opportunities for public participation and oversight of official behaviour, including by civil society, are increasingly restricted”, according to HRW.

Additionally, it expressed that the government on, January 30, 2024, provided the draft NGO law to selected members of civil society, who were given three weeks to respond. “The bill does not address any evident need, but instead seeks to subject civil society organizations to invasive government scrutiny and interference, and threatens civil society members with prison if they don’t comply with cumbersome administrative procedures.”

The HRW also recalled that the National Collective of CSOs and NGOs, a coalition of Sri Lankan civil society organizations, has written to the government on February 28 raising concerns that the proposed law would ‘violate the fundamental rights to freedom of association and expression,’ while damaging the delivery of services by civil society organizations, including to ‘the many families who are struggling to make ends meet in the midst of severe economic hardship’.

Drawing reference to the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, Volker Türk’s March 1 update to the UN Human Rights Council on the crisis in Sri Lanka, the HRW highlighted that he was “concerned by the introduction of new or proposed laws with potentially far-reaching impact on fundamental rights and freedoms … which variously strengthen the executive, grant broad powers to the security forces, and severely restrict rights to freedom of assembly, association and expression, impacting not only on civic space but the business environment.”

The IMF should protect the credibility and efficacy of its program in Sri Lanka by publicly calling upon the government to abandon the proposed NGO law, impose a moratorium on use of the Online Safety Act, and amend the Anti-Terrorism Bill to ensure that it respects human rights standards, HRW noted.

“The IMF and other international partners supporting Sri Lanka’s economic recovery recognize that this crisis has its roots in misgovernance and corruption,” Ganguly said. “If their efforts are to be successful, they need to stand firm against the government’s attempts to curtail fundamental civil and political rights.”

Canadian High Commissioner meets Anura Dissanayake

The Canadian High Commissioner to Sri Lanka, Eric Walsh called on the Leader of National People’s Power (NPP), MP Anura Kumara Dissanayake on Wednesday morning (March 13).

During the meeting, which took place at the JVP head office, the current socio-economic and political situation in Sri Lanka was discussed at length.

Taking to his X handle (formerly Twitter), Dissanayake said views were also exchanged between the two sides on the plans of the National People’s Power to build national unity.

“The High Commissioner also took this opportunity to congratulate us on our upcoming visit to Canada to meet Sri Lankans living in Canada,” he added.

Patrick Pickering, the Second Secretary (Political) of the Canadian High Commission in Colombo and Comrade Vijitha Herath, the National Executive Member of the National People’s Power were also present at this meeting.

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Chinese military delegation visited Sri Lanka, Maldives and Nepal – report

A Chinese military delegation recently visited the Maldives, Sri Lanka and Nepal to discuss further cooperation in defence issues, Beijing said Wednesday.

Beijing is seeking to build closer ties in South Asia in a push to counter its strategic rival India for influence.

Last week, the Maldives said it had signed a “military assistance” deal with China after ordering Indian troops deployed in the small but strategically-placed archipelago to leave.

And Beijing confirmed Wednesday that a delegation had visited the country and met with pro-China President Mohamed Muizzu during a trip that also took them to Sri Lanka and Nepal from March 4 to 13.

In all three countries, “they exchanged views on military relations and regional security issues of common concern”, the Chinese military said in a statement on its official WeChat account.

The delegation of officials from the military’s international military cooperation department focused on “in-depth consultations on promoting bilateral defence cooperation”.

“A series of consensus was reached to further enriched defence cooperation between the PLA and the relevant countries,” it added, referring to the Chinese military by its official acronym.

India is suspicious of China’s growing presence in the Indian Ocean and its influence in the Maldives, a chain of 1,192 tiny coral islands stretching around 800 kilometres (500 miles) across the equator, as well as in neighbouring Sri Lanka.

Both South Asian island nations are strategically placed halfway along key east-west international shipping routes.

Beijing also enjoys close ties with Nepal, led by Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal, an ex-Maoist guerrilla known by his nom de guerre Prachanda.

Source: AFP

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Sri Lanka fails to ’meet’ 33% of IMF commitments due by end-February: Verité Research

Sri Lanka failed to meet 33% of the commitments due by end-February 2024 in its International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme, according to the February update of Verité Research’s ‘IMF Tracker’.

Many of these commitments that are classified as ‘not met’ on IMF Tracker were designed to improve governance, the Verité Research said.

“These include commitments related to publishing information (transparency), and those that require the passage of governance-improving legislation.

The IMF has recognised poor governance as being at the heart of Sri Lanka’s economic crisis, and Sri Lanka is the first Asian country to have had an IMF-led Governance Diagnostic Assessment.

The status of 36% of the commitments are classified as ‘unknown’, which means sufficient data was not made available to assess their progress. By end-February, 31% of the commitments were verifiably ‘met’,” the Verité Research further said.

The second round of IMF programme funding came in December 2023. Under the updated agreement, Sri Lanka was due to meet 45 commitments by end-February. The IMF Tracker dashboard classified 14 (31%) of these as ‘met’, 15 (33%) as ‘not met’, and 16 (36%) as ‘unknown’.

Of the 15 ‘not met’ commitments, six are on publishing information. Four are on actions relating to adopting new laws: (a) Obtaining parliamentary approval on Banking Act; (b) Introducing automatic indexation of excises to inflation; (c) Making legislative change to set up a debt management agency; (d) Presenting the public finance management law to parliament.

These four actions, which are aimed at addressing governance problems, have remained neglected despite being included in the IMF staff-level agreement in September 2022.

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Gotabaya’s book aims to bring back the Rajapaksas on a majoritarian wave By Veeragathy Thanabalasingham

Former President Gotabaya Rajapaksa (GR) last week published a book titled THE CONSPIRACY to Oust Me From The Presidency’ in English and Sinhala.

Instead of having a book launch event with great fanfare inviting religious leaders, politicians and foreign diplomats, as is customary for political leaders, GR sent copies of the 179-page book directly to main booksellers across the country. He issued only a media release announcing the publication of the book.

Immediately after the release of the book United National Party chairman Vajira Abeywardena MP announced that he will launch a book shortly which relates the inside story about how the incumbent President Ranil Wickramasinghe became Head of the State with a solitary seat in Parliament after the 2022 Aragalaya uprising. He had already released a compilation of newspaper cartoons about the President last week.

The local and foreign media gave much publicity to GR’s book which he described is based on first-hand experience of an internationally sponsored regime change operation. The book he said would interest not only Sri Lankans but also foreigners.

However, the book does not seem to have created much sensation among people Sri Lankans. It mostly contains matters that are already known to the public. Perhaps it would have attracted more attention if GR, who fled the country amidst an unprecedented people’s uprising and resigned from the Presidency while in Singapore, had given his book a different title.

Talking of international and local conspiracies is a habit of the Rajapaksas. They have fabricated conspiracy theories to explain their failures.

The Rajapaksas have already been saying that the people’s uprising that drove them from power two years ago is a conspiracy by domestic and foreign forces. They do not accept that the people took to the streets and revolted against them as the result of their policies which led the country to bankruptcy for the first time in the history of modern Sri Lanka.

The leader of the National Freedom Front, Wimal Weerawansa, an erstwhile staunch ally of Rajapaksas, who turned against them after having stripped of ministerial position by GR in the early part of 2022, had already released a book titled ‘ Nine ; The Hidden story ‘ on the alleged international conspiracy behind the Aragalaya last year. It is reported that Weerawansa’s book contains more details than GR’s.

With the country waiting for the national elections, the publication of GR’s book two years after he was forced to resign is interpreted as a signal of his willingness to re-enter politics.

Meanwhile, there are those who say that it was not a coincidence that the book came out at the time when elder brother Basil Rajapaksa returned from the United States to steer the Sri Lanka Padujana Peramuna (SLPP) towards the elections.

GR says in the book that he had to step down as a result of a regime change operation with the support of international powers. Despite claiming that the book is based on first-hand experience of the conspiracy, he avoided mentioning any country by name. He did not produce any credible evidence of a conspiracy.

However, his contention is that the geopolitical rivalry between China and other countries is responsible for his downfall. He argued that his downfall was the result of Chinese-funded infrastructure projects after 2006 that brought an element of geopolitical contest to the Sri Lankan political landscape.

The former President said that it would be extremely naïve for anyone to claim that there was no foreign hand in the moves to made to oust him from power. He further said that foreign intervention in Sri Lanka started since the day he won the war against the Tamil Tigers.

“From the time I was elected as President in November 2019, local and foreign forces started working to remove me from power. Immediately after I took office, the Covid-19 pandemic began spreading in Sri Lanka and across the world. I had to spend my two and a half years in office trying to control the pandemic.”

” After the pandemic was brought under control by an effective vaccination campaign in March 2022 and when the economy was beginning to recover, the conspiratorial forces started their campaign to remove me from the Presidency. Today foreign intervention and manipulation of internal politics have become a fact of life in Sri Lanka in a manner never experienced in the first sixty years of independence of this country.”

“Attempts to remove me from office have brought a new trend in the politics of Sri Lanka, which had witnessed a peaceful transition of power through democratic elections since independence,” GR said in his media release.

His comments at various points in the book reveal his belated acceptance that he was a political neophyte. He has openly stated that he was not able to properly exercise his power as he was not the leader of the ruling party. GR should have known why previous Executive Presidents including his elder brother Mahinda Rajapaksa made sure that they were also the leaders of their parties. He thought that since the party was under the control of his brothers, he would not face any problem in the political front. May be blood is thicker than water, but political power is thicker than blood.

The main reason that prompted me to comment on GR’s book is to present some observations on important passages on the Aragalya uprising .

It appears that he wrote this book to attribute ethnicity-based political reasoning for the popular revolt against his rule. GR said it was obvious that all the Aragalaya related protests held especially in Colombo may have been motivated by the fear that if he continued in power, the Sinhala Buddhists would have been strengthened to the detriment of the minority communities. The Aragalaya, which had the support of foreign powers from the very first day, was inimical to the interests of the Sinhalese, especially the Sinhalese Buddhists.

He further said that if anyone examines thoroughly who gathered at the Colombo Galle Face Green it can be clearly seen that all of them belong to the sections of the population that already rallied against him.

“The perception that I was against the Tamils and Muslims was reinforced. Although I maintained excellent relations with the Catholic Church, they also later turned against me. Those who participated in the Aragalaya had different goals and priorities.”

” If anyone who had the impression that the purpose of the Aragalaya movement was to mitigate the hardships faced by the people as a result of the economic crisis, it is simply delusional. The agenda of diaspora Tamils demanding a united Sri Lanka instead of a unitary state was clearly visible in the Aragalaya. They have been demanding a political solution to the ethnic conflict based on a federal set up” the former president said.

He has also gone to the extent of saying that his very election to power was the result of a contest between the Sinhala and Buddhist interests on the one hand and all non- Sinhala and non-Buddhist elements on the other hand.

Although the Supreme Court ruled in November last year that the three Rajapaksa brothers and some senior officials who held key positions in their government, including the two former Governors of the Central Bank, were responsible for the collapse of the economy, GR adamantly refuses to accept that his government was responsible for the crisis. He is intent on portraying himself as an innocent victim of a dangerous conspiracy.

Now doubt his narrative is a clear demonstration of the Rajapaksas’ determination to regain the support of the Sinhala people by taking a stand against the interests of minority communities through the mobilization of the majority community. They can easily attribute the political opposition to them as a conspiracy of foreign powers.

It is clear that the objective of the Aragalya movement was genuine and in the initial stages of the struggle there were manifestations of a political revolution which was carried out peacefully and turned the attention of the whole world towards Sri Lanka.

But when the movement turned into a mass struggle, various political forces infiltrated it and diverted it to violence, by storming strategic state buildings including the President House, Temple Trees and the Prime Minister’s Office creating a convenient situation for the government of the new President Ranil Wickremesinghe to justify repression.

Aragalaya is a very recent example of the fate that would befall a popular uprising which has no clear objectives and a proper leadership guided by progressive political principles.

The Rajapaksas never dreamt that the Sinhalese people would rise up against them so quickly. They were labouring under a strange belief that the Sinhalese community would forever be slavishly loyal to them and that Sri Lanka’s political power would be their monopoly. The Rajapaksas expected the Sinhalese to support them without a murmur tolerating their shenanigans.

The Rajapaksas either need to return to power or ensure that someone who does not hold them accountable for past misrule comes to power. There is no doubt that their moves in the coming days will be based on this objective. They have no other way to rebuild their party and regain the support of the Sinhala people other than indulging in propaganda about an imaginary international conspiracy and anti-minority politics.

When we look at today’s geopolitical situation, it is not new that powerful countries intervene in the internal affairs of other countries and manipulate the political forces there, but it should be understood that the actions of the rulers create a conducive situation for such interventions.

GR’s view that popular the uprising was against the interests of Sinhalese Buddhists is an insult to the sanity of that community. Only the next elections will show whether attempts at majoritarian mobilization will gain traction with the Sinhalese masses.

But no longer should majoritarian mobilization be allowed to cover up corruption and misrule. If not, there will be no future for Sri Lanka.

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Sri Lanka and China standards agencies to sign agreement

Sri Lanka Standards Institution and the Standardization Administration of China will sign an agreement to iron out barriers in trade linked to non-tariff areas, Minister Bandula Gunawardena said.

“It has been proposed to sign a Memorandum of Understanding between the Sri Lanka Standards Institute and China’s Standardization Administration to reduce technical barriers in trade between Sri Lanka and China,”
Gunawardena said on Tuesday announcing Cabinet decisions.

The Standardization Administration of China is the standards organization authorized by the State Council of China.

“The clearance of the Attorney General and the approval of the Ministry of External Affairs have been received for the relevant draft MoU. The Cabinet of Ministers approved the proposal to sign the said MoU,” Gunawardena said.

Sri Lanka is seeking to expand on trade agreements to facilitate exports of goods and services.

President and Sumanthiran discuss IMF proposals

ITAK Parliamentarian M. A. Sumanthiran discussed the proposals of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) after other opposition parties boycotted the meeting.

During the discussions, Secretary to the Treasury Mahinda Siriwardena provided insights into the ongoing negotiations with bilateral creditors, commercial creditors, and ISBs, with an optimistic outlook towards completing the process by the end of June this year.

Notably, Mr. Sumanthiran raised pertinent concerns regarding the lack of published technical assistance reports of the IMF which is an analysis as to why certain recommendations are made, which is a necessity for the publication of analytical data to inform parliamentary deliberations.

President Wickremesinghe, acknowledging the importance of transparency, assured that the government would release the data to the ITAK and Parliament, facilitating informed debate and decision-making.

Furthermore, the Central Bank Governor highlighted the government’s efforts in adhering to the recommendations outlined in the governor’s diagnostic report, emphasizing the commitment to a structured roadmap for implementation. President Wickremesinghe affirmed the government’s willingness to make these technical assistance reports available to the members of parliament and invited Sumanthiran and other Opposition members to attend a meeting and engage with the IMF to further discuss the proposals.

In response, Sumanthiran expressed his readiness to participate constructively in the dialogue, pledging support for constructive measures while highlighting areas that warrant attention and rectification, the President’s media unit said.

Present at the meeting with President Ranil Wickremesinghe were Prime Minister Dinesh Gunawardane, Leader of the House Susil Premajayantha, State Ministers of Finance Shehan Semasinghe and Ranjith Siyambalapitiya, Senior Advisor to the President on National Security and Chief of Presidential Staff Sagala Ratnayaka, Secretary to the President Saman Ekanayake, Governor of the Central Bank Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe, and Secretary to the Treasury Mahinda Siriwariwardena, representing the government.

Representing the Opposition ITAK Parliamentarian M.A. Sumanthiran attended the meeting.