Sri Lanka foreign minister meets UNHRC core group

Foreign minister G L Peiris had informal discussions with representatives of the United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC) core group of countries on Sri Lanka on Friday (18) in Colombo.

A foreign ministry statement did not elaborate on the discussions, but noted that ministry secretary Jayanath Colombage also took part.

The core group comprises Canada, Germany, North Macedonia, Malawi, Montenegro, the United Kingdom, and the United States. At the 49th session of the UNHRC session in Geneva earlier this month, the core group said its concern over surveillance and intimidation of civil society persists, and detentions, threats and intimidation of journalists and human rights defenders continue while the proposed changes to the controversial Prevention of Terrorism Act (PTA) are very limited.

“The new ‘One Country One Law’ taskforce risks undermining Sri Lanka’s pluralist society. We urge Sri Lanka to ensure that this taskforce’s work is inclusive and non-discriminatory,” the UK’s Global Ambassador for Human Rights Rita French in her statement on behalf of the core group said.

The ‘One Country One Law’ task force is headed by a controversial Buddhist monk appointed to the position by President Gotabaya Rajapaksa. The monk’s name has been linked to anti-Muslim violence in the island nation.

Sri Lanka claimed “overwhelming” and cross-regional support, particularly from the global south, at the interactive dialogue of the UNHRC session. However, Western countries noted setbacks on the human rights front and called for increased engagement with minority political parties.

“Sri Lanka received overwhelming support from countries of the global south who expressed support for the government’s significant efforts towards reconciliation and reiterated the importance of objective and constructive cooperation as the fundamental basis for multilateral engagement,” Sri Lanka’s foreign ministry said in a statement last Tuesday (08).

However, the United States, which recently joined the core group, called for increased engagement with Tamil and Muslim parties and civil society organisations to “advance an inclusive, lasting political solution”.

The UK, meanwhile, noting continued lack of progress on accountability and “setbacks in several emblematic human rights cases”, called on the Sri Lankan government to engage constructively with the recommendations in resolution 46/1 passed in March 2021 and to cooperate with the Office of the Human Rights Commissioner (OHCHR).

Sri Lanka tests UN’s patience on human rights -BBC

Memories of the dark cell and constant fear for his life still haunt Murugiah Komahan, who spent six years in prison on anti-terrorism charges in Sri Lanka.

Mr Komahan, 40, is among thousands of Tamils and others detained under the Prevention of Terrorism Act (PTA) in recent decades.

Successive governments dominated by the Sinhalese majority used the PTA primarily to arrest those suspected of links with the separatist Tamil Tigers until the rebels’ defeat in 2009.

But more than a decade after the civil war ended, the act is still in use and Sri Lanka is under pressure to reform it.

The island’s access to lucrative export markets in Europe depends on it making progress on human rights.

Mr Komahan, who’s from northern Jaffna region, was first arrested under the anti-terrorism act in 2010 on charges of links with the rebels.

“Police tried to force me to sign a confession but when I refused, I was severely beaten. An officer even threatened to shoot me. When I complained to a judge about being tortured, I was beaten even more,” Mr Komahan told the BBC.

Finally, he said, he signed a confession in Sinhala, a language he doesn’t understand. He was worried that if he refused, he might be sent to solitary confinement.

A court freed him in 2016 for lack of evidence – but Mr Komahan says he is still being monitored by intelligence agencies.

“The constant surveillance is making it difficult to return to a normal life,” he says.

Rights groups say the PTA has been used to make arbitrary arrests, to detain people for years without due legal process and to extract false confessions under torture, accusations the authorities deny.

It was first introduced as a temporary measure more than 40 years ago, when the insurgency for a Tamil homeland was in its early stages. But it’s also been used to target other minority groups, government critics and civil society activists over the years, campaigners say.

“We have cases of people who spent several years in prison before they were discharged – that means there was no evidence and no indictment was filed,” said Ambika Satkunanathan, a prominent human rights activist.

She alleges the PTA was used to target Muslims after the island’s 2019 Easter Sunday bomb attacks by Islamist militants.

These include prominent Muslim lawyer Hejaaz Hizbullah, a vocal opponent of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa. He was released on bail in January amid growing international criticism after spending almost two years in detention.

According to the Sri Lankan prison authorities, there are still nearly 300 people detained under the PTA, some of whom have been held for more than a decade.

Following years of criticism, the government has now tabled amendments to the act with “the objective of bringing it in line with international norms and best practice”.

Justice Minister Mohamed Ali Sabry told the BBC: “One of the key provisions in the amendments is if the indictment is not filed for more than a year, then the detainee can apply for bail.”

He said officials were trying to expedite pending anti-terrorism cases and 86 people had recently been released.

But campaigners say the proposed changes do not go far enough. For example, “a confession given to an assistant superintendent of police or above can still be used as evidence in trial”, Ms Satkunanathan said.

The United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC), which is holding its spring session in Geneva, and others are watching closely. Another critical assessment by the council later this year would not augur well for Sri Lanka.

The European Union has already warned it will suspend tariff free access for Sri Lankan companies if there is no progress on human rights. The island’s exporters sent garments worth more than $2bn to the bloc in 2020.

Given Sri Lanka’s foreign exchange reserves crisis, a bailout from the International Monetary Fund looks on the cards.

Last month, UN Human Rights chief Michelle Bachelet acknowledged the Sri Lankan government had taken some steps in addressing human rights issues. But she also called on member states “to investigate and prosecute international crimes committed by all parties in Sri Lanka”.

Last year, member states authorised her to collect and preserve evidence of alleged war crimes by both sides in the 26-year conflict. The UN estimates 80-100,000 people were killed and thousands disappeared.

“The initial step is to create a centralised repository for the wide array of material that is available, including that collected by the UN over the years, which is substantial,” Rory Mungoven, Asia-Pacific chief at the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, told the BBC.

“We are analysing all the material and pinpointing particular cases, particular perpetrators where further action may be possible.”

After the inaction of successive Sri Lankan governments, the intention is that material gathered could be used to try war crimes suspects outside the island under the principle of “universal jurisdiction”.

President Rajapaksa, a hardliner who led the war efforts, has consistently rejected allegations of war crimes by the military and it’s highly unlikely that he might agree to the conditions set by the UN. Many of his supporters in the Sinhalese majority see those accused of wrongdoing as heroes.

His foreign minister criticised the UN decision earlier this month.

“It creates obstacles to reconciliation efforts, breeds hatred by reopening past wounds, and polarises society,” GL Peiris told the session in Geneva.

Ministers in Colombo point to measures already taken, such as rehabilitating former rebels and the setting up of an office to determine the status of those still missing in the war.

Critics argue little came of such initiatives.

People like Murugiah Komahan agree. He and others who were jailed unjustly say their lives were ruined – and they’ll never get back the years they lost.

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West and Japan urge Sri Lanka to extend “vocal support” for Ukraine

Envoys of the United States and several other key nations in the west, as well as Japan on Friday, called on Sri Lanka to join in active support against the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

In a joint statement, the ambassadors and high commissioners to Sri Lanka urged the island nation to raise “vocal support” for Ukraine, international law, including the United Nations charter.

“We urge Sri Lanka to join us in calling on Russia to end it hostilities immediately.”

The statement was issued by the head of the delegation of the European Union, high commissioners of Australia, Canada, New Zealand and the United Kingdom, and the ambassadors of France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Japan, Rumania, Switzerland and the United States.

“We will work together with our friends and allies around the world to ensure that the sovereignty and independence of Ukraine is restored. We stand with Ukraine; and for freedom, democracy, and the sovereignty of nations around the world,” the envoys said.

The envoys condemned Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as an unprovoked, unjust and illegal attack on a peaceful, democratic and sovereign state. “This outrageous attack is a gross violation of international law, including the UN charter.”

The statement slammed Russia for dramatically escalating its attacks on civilian neighbourhoods and infrastructure, leading to large numbers of civilian casualties. Millions of ordinary civilians – mainly women, children and older persons – have been forced to flee from their homes into neighbouring countries as refugees, making it the fastest-growing refugee crisis in the last 70 years, it read further.

Russia threatens the fundamental principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity that underpin peace and security around the world, the representatives to Sri Lanka stressed.

The statement also read: “We stand united in condemnation of the Russian government’s attacks on Ukraine. In the UN General Assembly on 2 March, 141 countries – an overwhelming majority – voted to condemn Russia’s invasion. This demonstrates Russia’s utmost isolation from the international community. Countries supporting Ukraine have imposed an unprecedented package of targeted sanctions to inflict heavy cost on Russia. These aim to degrade Russia’s capacity to pursue its attacks against Ukraine, and to press Russia to withdraw from hostilities. We have seen organisations from banks to oil companies, to football leagues, make it clear that Putin’s actions have consequences and his regime can no longer be part of the international community.”

It said the friends and allies of Ukraine have committed significant levels of economic and humanitarian assistance with many countries opening their boarders to Ukrainian families fleeing the war.

The envoys also accused Russia of promoting false narratives as a pretext for invasion.

“The Russian government has conducted an aggressive disinformation campaign against Ukraine in a spurious attempt to justify its invasion. There is no justification for Russia’s campaign to subvert its democratic neighbours. Russia falsely accuses NATO of provocation. NATO is, and always has been, a defensive alliance, and poses no threat to Russia.”

Chinese Ambassador meets with Foreign Minister, discusses China-SL FTA

The Chinese Ambassador of Sri Lanka, Qi Zhenhong met with the Sri Lankan Foreign Minister Prof. G.L. Peiris yesterday (18).

The Chinese Embassy stated that the two dignitaries highly appraised the mutual understanding and support which remained between Sri Lanka and China at the 49th session of the United Nations Human Rights Council, which concluded recently.

Prof. G.L. Peiris, who chairs the newly founded Cabinet Sub Committee on Economic Way Forward initiate with China and several other countries, explored the potential of financial and trade collaboration in the meeting with the Chinese Ambassador.

The Cabinet Sub Committee recently discussed on the topic of expediting the Free Trade Agreement between China and Sri Lanka.

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Cash-strapped Sri Lanka cancels school exams over paper shortage – Aljazeera

Sri Lanka has cancelled exams for millions of school students in the Western Province as the country ran out of printing paper with Colombo short on dollars to finance imports, according to officials.

Education authorities said the term tests, scheduled a week from Monday, were postponed indefinitely due to an acute paper shortage as Sri Lanka contends with its worst financial crisis since independence in 1948.

“School principals cannot hold the tests as printers are unable to secure foreign exchange to import necessary paper and ink,” the Department of Education of the Western Province, home to nearly six million people, said.

Term tests for classes 9, 10 and 11 are part of a continuous assessment process to decide if students are promoted to the next grade at the end of the year.

A debilitating economic crisis brought on by a shortage of foreign exchange reserves to finance essential imports has seen the country run low on food, fuel and pharmaceuticals.

IMF bailout

The cash-strapped South Asian nation of 22 million announced this week that it will seek an IMF bailout to resolve its worsening foreign debt crisis and shore up external reserves.

The International Monetary Fund on Friday confirmed it was considering President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s surprise Wednesday request to discuss a bailout.

The island nation secured a $1bn credit line from India to buy urgently needed food and medicine, officials said, after Finance Minister Basil Rajapaksa’s visit to New Delhi.

About $6.9bn of Colombo’s debt needs to be serviced this year but its foreign currency reserves stood at about $2.3bn at the end of February.

Long queues have formed across the country for groceries and oil with the government instituting rolling electricity blackouts and rationing of milk powder, sugar, lentils and rice.

Sri Lanka earlier this year asked China, one of its main creditors, to help put off debt payments but there has been no official response yet from Beijing.

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How Four Powerful Brothers Broke an Island Nation – Bloomberg

In just over two years, Sri Lanka’s first family has presided over a series of crises mostly of its own making.

The island nation of 22 million people is facing its worst economic upheaval in a decade. From an ill-fated fertilizer ban that led to a dramatic fall in yields of crops like rice and tea, to its failure to deal with a foreign-currency crisis that’s now a humanitarian emergency, the government of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa is fast running out of solutions. Relying until now on help from its two major backers — India and China — and stubbornly refusing wider international aid, the country is on the verge of default.

Protests roiled Colombo on Tuesday, with upwards of 10,000 opposition supporters gathering outside the president’s office to call for his resignation. Shortages of electricity, fuel, food and medicine are widespread and causing real pain for everyone from daily wage earners to operators trying to jumpstart the key tourism industry after two years of Covid interruptions and the 2019 Easter Sunday bombings that targeted churches and luxury hotels, killing nearly 270 people. Inflation has soared to 15% — the worst in Asia.

It’s hard to overstate the influence of the Rajapaksa clan in all this. Gotabaya, who won office in the November 2019 presidential elections, appointed his brother, Mahinda, as prime minister. If this pairing sounds familiar, it’s because it is. Mahinda first came to power in 2004, initially as prime minister and then as president. At the time, Gotabaya was defense secretary and was notorious for his role in the 2009 operation to end the civil war with Tamil rebels. Thousands died or disappeared amid allegations of torture, rape, extra-judicial killings and the abduction and assassination of Tamil separatists, journalists and opposition figures. Gotabaya denies all these allegations.

The Rajapaksas were out of power briefly from 2015, when Maithripala Sirisena and Ranil Wickremesinghe led the country, until Wickremesinghe was removed from his post in 2018, sparking a constitutional crisis. Their party won a landslide victory in the August 2020 general election, and quickly restored sweeping executive powers to the presidency that had been previously curbed. Another brother, Basil, was appointed finance minister in July 2021. He was already a controversial figure due to his American-Sri Lankan nationality — his entry into Parliament was only made possible when the government removed a constitutional provision barring dual citizens.

Their eldest brother, Chamal, is a Cabinet minister, while his son is a non-Cabinet minister. One of the prime minister’s sons is also in the Cabinet, another is his chief of staff, and a nephew is a member of Parliament. According to some estimates, about 75% of the budget is under the control of Rajapaksa ministers in government. It is dynastic politics at its purest.

But all the Rajapaksas in power haven’t been able to do what needed to be done to help Sri Lanka out of this mess.

Basil was in India March 16-17, where he secured a $1 billion credit line to help stave off the crisis, exacerbated by spikes in oil prices driven by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The war is also badly affecting the travel sector: About 30% of visitors so far this year were from Russia, Ukraine, Poland and Belarus, while Russia is also one of the biggest buyers of Sri Lankan tea, its main goods export.

Things are bad enough that the brothers’ resistance to seeking support from the International Monetary Fund is softening, Bloomberg News reported earlier this week. Sri Lankan officials began talks with the IMF on Monday and may present policy proposals by early next month.

Authorities have recently allowed the rupee to weaken and borrowing costs to rise, in line with expectations of IMF conditions. But experts have criticized the sequencing of these moves. Debt restructuring was the first priority, said economist and executive director of the Colombo-based Verité Research, Nishan de Mel, told me. Increasing interest rates and depreciating the rupee should have come next.

The situation has snowballed because it was mismanaged for some time, de Mel said. What Sri Lankans are facing now is unprecedented, he said, and beyond anything experienced during the decades of civil war. Sri Lanka has about $2 billion of foreign-currency reserves against total debt repayment of as much as $7 billion for 2022, including a $1 billion dollar bond maturing in July. It has three months, maybe less, before a default, de Mel said.

There is now a growing demand for the government to clearly articulate some concrete solutions, said Dushni Weerakoon, executive director of the Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka. “There is no painless way out of this,” Weerakoon noted. “The economic conditions will tighten before they get better.”

It all began with the government’s capital market borrowing back in 2007, she said. (Mahinda was president then.) That now accounts for 38% of the country’s foreign debt, while loans from China accounted for 10%. Given the severity of Sri Lanka’s plight, the initial reliance on government-to-government deals to finance the foreign exchange gap hasn’t been sufficient, she said. Approaching the IMF is now the best option, complemented by efforts to access financing from India and China. Sri Lanka has asked both Beijing and New Delhi to consider restructuring its debt repayments after India in January extended a $400 million swap line and deferred an Asian Clearing Union settlement of $500 million.

The country is also seeking to negotiate a new loan with China. The Hambantota port — part of China’s Belt and Road Initiative — is widely viewed as an example of what can go wrong with Beijing’s infrastructure drive. Sri Lanka borrowed heavily to build the port, couldn’t repay the loans, and then gave China a 99-year lease for debt relief.

Gotabaya is hardly the unifying figure Sri Lanka needs right now. However, with a two-thirds majority in Parliament and elections not due until 2024 and 2025, the opposition protests are unlikely to loosen the family’s grip on power.

He addressed the nation Wednesday evening, vowing to work with the IMF to resolve the crisis and saying he was “sensitive to the many sufferings the people have had to experience over the past two months.” But the clock is ticking and people are angry — and hungry. Any delay in an agreement with the IMF brings the country one step closer to a hard default. And that is a road no one wants Sri Lanka to travel.

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Sri Lanka forced into IMF U-turn after financial crisis sparks protests -FT.COM

Sri Lanka has begun talks with the IMF over a debt relief package after protests over a deepening economic crisis forced Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s government into a policy U-turn.

The president told the country on Wednesday night that he was “attempting to immediately resolve this crisis and provide relief to the people”.

“Subsequent to my discussions with the International Monetary Fund, I have decided to work with them,” Rajapaksa said, according to a transcript of his comments by Sri Lanka’s Daily FT newspaper. “Through those discussions, we hope to find a way to pay off our annual loan instalments, sovereign bonds and so on.”

Sri Lanka has for months faced mounting economic pain as its depleted foreign currency reserves triggered shortages of imports and fuel, power blackouts and double-digit inflation.

Thousands of protesters and opposition parties gathered in Colombo this week calling on Rajapaksa’s government to resign over its handling of the economy.

The government has until now insisted that Sri Lanka would be able to navigate the crisis without IMF assistance. But its strategy, which involved securing bilateral aid from countries such as India and a post-pandemic revival in tourism, was dismissed by many investors and analysts as unrealistic.

The island nation had debt and interest repayments worth about $7bn due this year, its finance minister Basil Rajapaksa told the Financial Times in January. But analysts estimate that usable foreign currency reserves have fallen as low as $500mn.

Among its more immediate challenges is a $1bn bond due in July, which many investors are sceptical Colombo will be able to repay without restructuring.

Sri Lanka is Asia’s largest high-yield bond issuer, borrowing heavily in the years following the end of its 2009 civil war. It has never defaulted.

About one-third of its debts are owed to international bondholders while other large creditors include countries such as China and India. It is expected to finalise a $1bn credit line this week with New Delhi.

However, after Rajapaksa came to power in 2019, his government introduced large tax cuts that eroded Sri Lanka’s revenue base. Combined with the blow to tourism from the Covid-19 pandemic, it prompted a series of rating downgrades into junk territory, leaving Sri Lanka locked out of international debt markets and unable to refinance.

Analysts said that any programme with the IMF would probably involve restructuring its debts to bring them to sustainable levels.

In a consultation document with Sri Lanka released this month, the IMF warned that challenges included “public debt that has risen to unsustainable levels, low international reserves and persistently large financing needs in the coming years”.

If it restructures, Sri Lanka will join countries such as Suriname, Belize, Zambia and Ecuador that have defaulted on their debts during the pandemic.

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Diesel, Jet fuel consignments stuck at Port

The government has been unable to clear two consignments of fuel consisting of diesel and jet fuel which is presently docked at the Colombo Port totalling to 42 million US dollars and due to the delay in clearance, the foreign company is now claiming a fee for demurrage, the Daily Mirror learns.

According to inside sources, the consignment consists of 22,000 metric tonnes of diesel and 22,000 metric tonnes of jet fuel, and it has been docked at the port for five days awaiting payment.

The Letters of Credit were opened for the purchase, but the government has been unable to provide the funds as yet leading to the company now claiming a fee for demurrage.

The government’s failure to clear this shipment has led to a severe shortage of diesel in the market, with queues lengthening further at all petrol stations in the country.

Presently payments have been released only to clear the gas shipments and the President’s Office said yesterday that unloading and distribution of domestic LP gas had recommenced after people had raised severe frustration at the lack of gas available in the market. This week, local primary gas suppliers Litro Gas Lanka and Laugfs Gas were compelled to suspend the operations due to the unavailability of stocks.

Meanwhile, senior sources at the BIA told Daily Mirror that airline operations were continuing and there was no shortage of jet fuel. However, if the present shipment of jet fuel is not cleared soon, then airline operations may be affected.

Sri Lanka’s economy is being crushed by war in Ukraine -TOI

Russia’s war in Ukraine, which has caused a humanitarian crisis and convulsed global financial markets, is now threatening to crush an $81 billion economy more than 4,000 miles away in the Indian Ocean.

Hit by soaring oil import costs and a dip in tourism revenue, Sri Lanka is racing to avert a default amid dwindling foreign-exchange holdings. With inflation already at 15% — the worst in Asia — the conflict is only making it harder for the tropical island located off the southern tip of India. Fuel shortages and blackouts lasting as long as seven hours have become daily routine, while the wait gets longer at gas stations where prices surged almost 50% this month.

Authorities are struggling to contain the crisis. They’ve raised interest rates, devalued the local currency and placed curbs on non-essential imports. But with a meager $2 billion in forex reserves and $7 billion in debt payments due this year, the battle is turning uphill. The government this week finally abandoned its reluctance to seek help from the International Monetary Fund and President Gotabaya Rajapaksa pledged to fulfill Sri Lanka’s obligations.

“Seeking help from the IMF is the most feasible way to get out of the crisis,” said Ankur Shukla, a Mumbai-based economist with Bloomberg Economics. “The Russia-Ukraine war has worsened the already weak external balances situation, increasing the gap between external financial requirements and financing sources available.”

One of Europe’s worst conflicts since World War II couldn’t have come at a worse time for Sri Lanka, which is still recovering from a brutal 30-year ethnic strife that ended in 2009. The South Asian country has sought to revive growth since, spending millions on tourism infrastructure, until the pandemic dealt a blow to its plans. The crisis also shows how Russia’s war is putting some of the fragile developing economies at risk and imperiling decades of efforts to lift millions out of poverty.

In South Asia, other vulnerable countries include Bangladesh, Maldives, Nepal and Pakistan, Shukla said. Though direct trade and financial linkages with Russia and Ukraine are limited, the “price and supply shocks are powerful,” he wrote in a note on March 9.

With a population of about 22 million, Sri Lanka is a net importer of goods from medicines to fuel. In December, petroleum products accounted for about 20% of inbound shipments and the cost jumped 88% from a year earlier. The increase in oil prices this year is adding to the burden.
The country has also been paying off external debt it piled on to help rebuild an economy scarred by the bloody civil war between the majority Buddhist Sinhalese and a Tamil minority that’s predominantly Hindu. That has been draining its forex reserves.

Another pain point is tourism revenue. About 30% of visitors this year were from Russia, Ukraine, Poland and Belarus, and the war is threatening to turn off that tap. Sri Lanka earned $3.6 billion from tourism in 2019 before the pandemic slashed that to less than a fifth two years later, official data show.

The central government’s foreign-owned debt stood at $32 billion as of November. Optimism that the government will soon manage to reach a deal with the IMF has already spurred a rally in the country’s dollar bonds. An offshore bond due 2030 rallied to 49 cents to the dollar from a record low of 38.9 cents on March 9, while one-year default probability has dropped to 18.2% from as much as 31.3% in late December, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The nation’s international bonds need to be restructured by July as Sri Lanka doesn’t have the necessary resources to pay the $1 billion due that month, Citigroup Inc. said in a February note.
Besides raising borrowing costs and devaluing the rupee, Central Bank of Sri Lanka governor Ajith Nivard Cabraal also urged restrictions on non-essential imports of around 300 items from electronic appliances to apples and increases in fuel prices and power tariffs.

“The government seems to be reacting positively and that would help steer the economy to calmer waters in this time of unprecedented global challenges,” Cabraal said by phone last week.

Yet for ordinary Sri Lankans, the pain is real. Civic groups have held vigils highlighting rising costs, while the main opposition party organized a mass rally in the capital city of Colombo on March 15, demanding the resignation of President Rajapaksa. The protests pose no immediate threat to his government, which commands almost two-thirds majority in parliament.

Sugath Chaminda, 44, said he spent about 10 hours to refuel his auto rickshaw, after being turned away by numerous gas pumps that had run dry. He then spent more time hunting for a cylinder of cooking gas, which was also in short supply.

“I don’t know what the government is doing to have brought us to this situation,” he said in Colombo.

Some of the inflation surge is also self-inflicted. Last year, the government banned imports of chemical fertilizers in an ambitious plan to promote organic farming. That caused a shortage of nutrients, leading to crop failure and protests, prompting the government to reverse the decision in November.

Sri Lanka has also approached China and India for bilateral credit lines to avoid an IMF bailout, but negotiations have been complicated by the war in Ukraine. In the past, policymakers have generally considered some of the IMF’s conditions as burdensome, leading to reluctance to engage with the agency.

Rajapaksa said Wednesday his government has weighed the advantages and disadvantages of working with the IMF, which has urged a “credible and coherent strategy” to restore macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability.

A restructuring is necessary as the debt levels are too high, said Kenneth Akintewe, head of Asian sovereign debt at abrdn in Singapore.

“The country doesn’t have a history of defaults but that also means they don’t have experience with going through the restructuring process,” he said. “Added to that, the relationship with the IMF has been a fractured one. This leaves room for missteps along the way.”

Does the China-SL FTA pose risks?

While signing loan agreements with India for the purchase of oil, food and medicine, China is also preparing to expedite a free trade agreement with Sri Lanka, which will seriously affect the country’s domestic industries.

A statement issued by the Sri Lankan Embassy in China yesterday (16) stated that the decision to expedite the agreement was taken at a meeting of the Ministerial Sub-Committee on International Trade.

The status of trade transactions between the two countries was also cited in the announcement, which mentioned that China sent $ 4700 million worth of goods to Sri Lanka last year, while Sri Lanka has sent $ 274 million worth of trade goods to China.

However, questions remain as to whether Sri Lanka, which already imports a large quantity of goods from China, compete with the Chinese market by entering into a free trade agreement, and what the fate of our country’s local industries be if these undrafted agreements are signed soon.

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