Wickremesinghe says geopolitics is a contributory factor in Lanka’s economic crisis

Addressing the 55th Annual Meeting of the Asian Development Bank’s Board of Governors in the Philippines on Thursday, the Sri Lankan President Ranil Wickremesinghe said that apart from domestic factors, geopolitical developments have also contributed to the economic crisis being faced by Sri Lanka.

Wickremesinghe noted that as this global rivalry intensifies into a new cold war by 2050, the inability of the major countries to give leadership to the mitigation of the global climate change crisis will become more apparent.

“As they say in many of our countries, when the elephants fight, it is the grass that is crushed. This is the predicament of many of our member countries. Therefore, we must overcome geopolitical rivalries to address the major threats to our existence, otherwise we will all fail leading to instability in our region reminiscent of Europe after World War I. On the other hand, our ability to successfully meet these challenges will lead to remarkable progress in raising the living standards of our people through the rise of the economies of our member countries,” the Lankan President said.

The ADB’s Strategy 2030 seeks to respond to global challenges, including climate change and natural disasters, food and energy insecurity, whilst also embracing opportunities in the digital economy, sustainable energy, and leveraging technology for inclusive education and healthcare, the President noted.

“The ADB has a crucial role in helping to shape and finance policies that improve people’s lives and livelihoods across Asia and the Pacific.”

Sky is the limit for India-Sri Lanka partnership: HC Baglay

The sky is the limit for the partnership between India and Sri Lanka, India’s High Commissioner Gopal Baglay said on Thursday as he emphasised the importance of the Indian Technical and Economic Cooperation (ITEC) programme in overall bilateral ties.

The High Commission of India in Colombo celebrated ITEC Day 2022 to mark 58 years of capacity-building partnership between India and Sri Lanka through the Indian Technical and Economic Cooperation (ITEC).

Sri Lankan Minister of Education Susil Premajayantha and Secretary to the Ministry of Education Nihal Ranasinghe graced the occasion as the Chief Guest and the Guest of Honour, respectively.

“High Commissioner emphasised the importance of #ITEC cooperation in the overall India-Sri Lanka partnership and remarked that “sky is the limit” for the bilateral partnership,” the Indian High Commission tweeted.

The ITEC network in Sri Lanka is ever-growing with more than 400 slots offered every year. Indian Technical and Economic Cooperation Programme (ITEC) is a bilateral assistance programme run by the Government of India.

It is a demand-driven, response-oriented programme that focuses on addressing the needs of developing countries through innovative technological cooperation between India and the partnering nation.

Baglay also noted India’s endeavour to help Sri Lanka in the education sector, including in higher education through partnerships between higher education institutes in India and Sri Lanka, the Colombo Gazette newspaper reported.

India and Sri Lanka are to increase cooperation in education and skills training, he said.

The event was attended by over 100 participants, which included ITEC alumni from Sri Lanka, officials and professionals from diverse sectors who have participated in various training courses in India under ITEC programmes.

In his address, Premajayantha lauded the historically close relations between India and Sri Lanka for more than 2000 years.

He appreciated India for the ITEC slots and the annual scholarships offered to Sri Lankan nationals and thanked India for the financial support extended to Sri Lanka in recent months.

India has extended bilateral assistance amounting close to USD 4 billion this year to Sri Lanka.

Besides the current 402 ITEC slots, around 700 scholarships are offered to Sri Lankan nationals every year, the newspaper said.

The minister highlighted the scope for further cooperation between India and Sri Lanka in the field of higher education, skill development and capacity building, especially from India’s STEM (Science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) and IT sectors.

He also referred to the comprehensive National Education Policy of India and its benefits for students and educators.

The participants shared their experiences of ITEC training in India and appreciated the holistic content of the different ITEC programmes.

Source: PTI

Election Campaign Finance to be regulated soon – EC chief

Chairman of the Election Commission of Sri Lanka, Nimal Punchihewa says a draft Bill to regulate expenditure incurred by candidates at elections conducted under the Local Authorities Elections Ordinance, the Provincial Councils Elections Act, the Parliamentary Elections Act and the Presidential Elections Act’ drawn up by the Election Commission of Sri Lanka has been approved by the Attorney General and submitted to the President. If approved by the President, the Bill will be presented to Parliament for ratification.The need for regulating campaign finance has arisen as some candidates and political parties spend billions of rupees to ‘buy’ votes.

Both the People’s Action for Free and Fair Elections (PAFEREL) and the CMEV campaigned for regulating campaign finance and Manjula Gajanayake the National Coordinator of the Centre for Monitoring Election Violence (CMEV) at the time took the initiative to set up a special team to keep tabs on the colossal amounts political parties and candidates spent on their election campaigns.

Gajanayake said that the CMEV had spent 15 million rupees to monitor campaign finance at the 2019 Presidential Election and 2020 General Election. He said that the CMEV reports showed that approximately 7,800 million rupees had been spent at these two elections but it was just the tip of the iceberg.

Gajanayake said that Sirithunga Jayasuriya, who contested the 2019 Presidential Election and former MP Ranjan Ramanayake, who contested the 2020 Parliamentary Election, were the only candidates who had disclosed their campaign expenditure.

Gajanayake, who is currently the Executive Director of the Institute of Democratic Reforms and Electoral Studies (IRES), said that IRES would monitor campaign spending at future elections. He said that the Election Commission of Sri Lanka should set up a special committee to review the maximum amount each candidate and political party could spend on their campaign at each election and added that it was imperative that the source of funding was disclosed and spending made transparent.He said that laws should be introduced to unseat anyone found guilty of spending over and above the stipulated ceiling; introducing a regulatory mechanism to control campaign finance would undoubtedly change the Sri Lankan election landscape in the future.

Posted in Uncategorized

Sri Lanka inflation rises to 69.8-pct in September

Sri Lanka’s inflation in the capital Colombo accelerated to 69.8 percent in September 2022 from 64.3 percent a month earlier, data from the state statistics office showed amid the worst currency crisis in the history of the island’s intermediate regime central bank.

The widely watched Colombo Consumer Price Index rose 3.8 percent to 244.7 points in the month.

The food sub-index rose 0.9 percent to 323.3 points.

Food prices were up 94.9 percent in the last 12 months. Food prices are up 120 percent from January 2020 when Sri Lanka began to print money aggressively after cutting taxes in December 2019.

Sri Lanka’s central bank has allowed interest rates to go up and private credit is now negative. Attempts are also made to minimize the budget deficit with high taxes and state enterprise credit is also contained with utility price hikes.

Sri Lanka operates Latin America style soft-peg with inherent anchor conflicts and triggering currency crises when attempts are made to suppress market interest rates.

Currency crises intensified from around 2014 when aggressive open market operations were unleashed to suppress rates in an ill-fated infaltion targeting exercise despite having a reserve collecting peg.

Sri Lanka cut taxes and printed large volumes of money to suppress rates in a ‘stimulus’ from 2020 ultimately driving the country to default.

Food prices are up 120 percent from January 2020 when Sri Lanka began to print money aggressively after cutting taxes in December 2019. Adding to the inflation is money printing by the Federal Reserve which had fired the highest price rises in 40 years.

Bad US and European policy in a resurgence of mercantilism also led to bad policy across countries.

China has been our closest buddy in recent decades: PM

China has the honour of being Sri Lanka’s closest buddy in the past decades Prime Minister Dinesh Gunawardana said yesterday while heaping his praise on the 73rd national day of the People’s Republic of China.

He stated that China has been a genuine friend that stood in times of trials, challenges and success for the sake of the people of this country.

Even in the current situation, China has further assured to help us with investment and extend its cooperation to uplift tourism and in other fields.

“The new trade agreements that we committed at the discussion table would yield good results and fetch success in the coming months. The Chinese have laid the foundation to become the global giant by gaining top recognition and by striking a perfect balance in the global arena.” the prime minister said.

China is honoured for its rapid and balanced progress in political, social, and economic power; cultural, scientific, and technological environmental research; and space exploration, he said.

China is a true and a powerful global leader. Especially through its leadership and extending its hand to the Asian, African and Latin American countries and the contribution it makes towards the prosperity of all nations across the globe.

Posted in Uncategorized

RW, Modi discuss Sri Lanka’s economic crisis in Tokyo

President Ranil Wickremesinghe and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi discussed Sri Lanka’s debt restructuring when the two held informal discussions in Tokyo last evening, on the sidelines of the funeral of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

Sources present at the discussion said that during the meeting which lasted for around 10 minutes, the Indian Prime Minister congratulated Wickremesinghe on his presidency and also discussed Sri Lanka’s present economic crisis.

Modi and Wickremesinghe discussed Sri Lanka’s debt restructuring and Modi also inquired on Sri Lanka’s talks with the International Monetary Fund and the current status of the talks.

After being briefed by Wickremesinghe, the Sri Lankan President requested for more Indian investments to which the Indian Premier had responded positively saying India would increase its investments in Sri Lanka to assist the country out of the economic crisis.

The meeting between the two South Asian leaders was expected especially at a time when India has played a crucial role in assisiting Sri Lanka during the economic instability.

Posted in Uncategorized

Sri Lanka will ask for vote on upcoming “unfair” UN resolution: foreign minister

Sri Lanka will seek a vote on an upcoming resolution at the United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC) with the help of its friends as the resolution is “unfair” and aimed at tarnishing the country’s image at a time of economic crisis, Foreign Minister Ali Sabry said.

The new resolution is likely to tighten Sri Lanka’s space to deal with international trade further as several key conventions in trade concessions like Europe’s GSP Plus are tied directly to human rights. Already the European Union has threatened to withdraw its trade concession as the country has failed to fulfill its commitments on implementing some key international conventions.

The draft resolution, titled “Promoting reconciliation, accountability and human rights in Sri Lanka” and sponsored by the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, Canada, Malawi, Montenegro and North Macedonia, was formally handed over to the Human Rights Council Secretariat last week.

The draft text requests the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights to enhance its monitoring and reporting on the situation of human rights in Sri Lanka, including on progress in reconciliation and accountability, and on the human rights impact of the economic crisis and corruption.

“It is unfair,” Foreign Minister Ali Sabry told EconomyNext on Thursday September 29.

“It is against our constitution and we have to respond to that. We are not going to agree on that. Whether we will win or lose, there are things on which we cannot compromise. We will ask for a vote through our friends,” he said.

Sri Lanka has been strongly against an external evidence gathering mechanism by the Office of High Commissioner for Human Rights though the UN body has already started the mechanism despite facing a lack of finance initially.

Sri Lanka’s human rights record has been criticised widely since the final stage of a 26-year civil war that ended in 2009 due to the alleged killing of thousands of ethnic minority Tamils by government forces. The government of Sri Lanka has repeatedly denied the allegation.

Some Western nations have already imposed a travel ban on some military leaders who led the government’s war effort on the grounds of alleged crimes. Canada and Germany had refused to accommodate Sri Lankan military officials in the island nation’s diplomatic missions in those countries.

Minister Sabry said the resolution is a concern because it seeks long term prosecution of military officials.

“Particularly what we are concerned about is an outside evidence gathering mechanism and the long-term prosecution of Sri Lankan armed forces outside Sri Lanka. That we cannot agree with,” he said.

The new resolution has called upon the government to address Sri Lanka’s ongoing currency crisis including by investigating corruption and prosecuting those responsible including public and former public officials. It has asked the UNHCR to stand ready to assist and support independent, impartial, and transparent efforts on this.

“They have brought in some economic crimes which has not been defined. Many countries have gone through (economic crises). But what is the UNHRC doing about an economic crisis?” said Sabry.

“If there is a crime, we have to prosecute in Sri Lanka. Economic recovery must take place in Sri Lanka and the international community should support us. So, tarnishing our image at this point in time will have a negative impact. People will not want to work with us and no new people want to come and invest,” he said.

Posted in Uncategorized

President hopes all creditors will support Sri Lanka

President Ranil Wickremesinghe said amidst major economic stress, Sri Lanka is undertaking an unprecedented fiscal effort as part of the government’s commitment to restoring the country’s debt sustainability.

Therefore, he expressed hope and expectation that Sri Lanka’s creditors, and all stakeholders, will support Sri Lanka in these efforts to restore the country’s debt sustainability and help put the country back on the path of inclusive and sustainable economic growth.

President Wickremesinghe presided over the annual meeting of the ADB Board of Governors on Thursday (29) which was held at the ADB headquarters in Manila, Philippines and attended by Governors and official government delegations.

President Wickremesinghe noted that the government has already undertaken major macroeconomic policy reform measures and this program is aligned with the commitment of the government to implement an ambitious and comprehensive package of reforms that will help restore the sustainability of the country’s public finances, addressing external imbalances, and restarting the growth engine through structural reforms and improvements in governance.

“Amidst major economic stress, Sri Lanka is undertaking an unprecedented fiscal effort as part of our commitment to restoring the country’s debt sustainability. It is our hope and expectation that Sri Lanka’s creditors, and all stakeholders, will support us in these efforts to restore our debt sustainability and help put the country back on the path of inclusive and sustainable economic growth,” he said.

The President said that whilst Sri Lanka undertakes these deep and often painful reforms, the country is experiencing rising unemployment and a reduction in purchasing power of the consumers. He added that the government is cognisant of the adverse impacts on the most vulnerable members of society, adding that every effort has been taken to allocate greater financing and resources towards targeted support for social protection.

He assured that the government has stabilized Sri Lanka’s economy and many countries and stakeholders are keenly monitoring how they resolve this crisis. Wickremesinghe said that his government is well aware that the evolution of Sri Lanka’s economic crisis includes both domestic policy elements as well as external shocks, adding that the resolution of the crisis also requires both domestic efforts and the support of external partners. “It is incumbent upon Sri Lanka and our creditors and partners to set an example of how collaborative and good faith action can result in sustainable and equitable solutions to sovereign debt issues.”

However, he emphasized that the economic levers alone are insufficient to stimulate global economic recovery. Adding that the factors underlining the main crisis is not only of economic origin, the President said they are also the consequences of evolving geopolitics.

He noted that as this global rivalry intensifies into a new cold war, which will determine a new global power balance by 2050, the inability of the major countries to give leadership to the mitigation of the global climate change crisis is becoming more apparent.

“As they say in many of our countries when the elephants fight, it is the grass that is crushed. This is the predicament of many of our member countries. Therefore, we must overcome the geopolitical rivalries to address the major threats to our existence, otherwise we will all fail leading to instability in our region reminiscent of Europe after World War I. On the other hand, our ability to successfully meet these challenges will lead to remarkable progress in raising the living standards of our people through the rise of the economies of our member countries.”

Hence, President Wickremesinghe said that the ADB’s Strategy 2030 seeks to respond to global challenges, including climate change and natural disasters, food and energy insecurity, whilst also embracing opportunities in the digital economy, sustainable energy, and leveraging technology for inclusive education and healthcare. Thus, he said that the ADB has a crucial role in helping to shape and finance policies that improve people’s lives and livelihoods across Asia and the Pacific.

Posted in Uncategorized

Deposed President Gotabaya Rajapaksa meets Subramanian Swamy

Deposed President Gotabaya Rajapaksa had talks with Indian politician Subramanian Swamy.

Swamy, who is in Sri Lanka, had met Rajapaksa together with members of his delegation.

Subramanian Swamy also met former Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa and attended an event hosted by the former Prime Minister.

The Indian politician, a member of the ruling BJP party, is known to be a close friend of the Rajapaksa family.

While in Colombo, Subramanian Swamy also met Prime Minister Dinesh Gunawardena and members of the Ceylon Workers Congress.

Swamy also delivered the keynote speech at an event held at the General Sir John Kotelawala Defence University.

IMF says time frame for Sri Lanka bailout remains uncertain

Sri Lanka’s Government appears increasingly upbeat about its chances of receiving International Monetary Fund board approval for a $2.9 billion bailout by December, but the multilateral lender has cautioned that the time frame remains uncertain, and much depends on discussions with the heavily indebted country’s creditors.

Peter Breuer, senior mission chief for Sri Lanka, and Masahiro Nozaki, mission chief for Sri Lanka, in written comments to Nikkei Asia, said, “It is difficult to predict the timeline, as the process of debt relief discussions takes time. All parties who are involved in the process should move expeditiously, so that Sri Lanka can emerge from the crisis as quickly as possible.”

On Sept. 1, Sri Lanka reached a staff-level agreement with the IMF to obtain the $2.9 billion, a crucial lifeline for a country wrestling with the worst economic crisis in its history. The country’s year-on-year inflation topped 70% in August, and the public continues to face severe shortages of essentials.

Earlier this year, Sri Lanka defaulted on a foreign bond for the first time, after its foreign reserves dwindled to next to nothing. “We announced that we are not in a position to pay,” central bank Gov. Nandalal Weerasinghe said in May, confirming the “preemptive default.”

“Our position is very clear. Until [the lenders] come and restructure, we can’t pay,” Weerasinghe said.

Last Friday, Sri Lanka’s Finance Ministry held an online presentation for external creditors to explain the situation and discuss the next steps toward restructuring. A handout cited “some past policy mistakes” along with the COVID-19 pandemic and the resulting crisis as key factors that crippled the economy, depleted reserves and forced the country to stop debt repayments.

The day before, President Ranil Wickremesinghe chaired a meeting with ambassadors from 23 Paris Club and non-Paris Club countries, including Japan, France and India, to discuss related matters.

Wickremesinghe appealed to all creditor countries to offer the “financing assurances” on debt sustainability the IMF has said are essential for the board to give the final green light.

The Indian High Commission in Sri Lanka, for its part, expressed support even before the creditor briefings. On Sept. 20 it said that it had started discussions on restructuring Sri Lanka’s official debt to India. A spokesman told Nikkei Asia that the “cordial atmosphere” of the talks reflected New Delhi’s support for an “early conclusion and approval of a suitable IMF program.”

Noting the need for other creditors to work on ensuring Sri Lanka’s debt is manageable, he added that India would remain “closely engaged” with relevant stakeholders.

During last Friday’s presentation, Weerasinghe and Mahinda Siriwardana, secretary to the Treasury and Ministry of Finance, noted that as of the end of June, Sri Lanka’s public debt stood at 122% of gross domestic product. A figure equivalent to 70% of GDP was denominated in foreign currency.

According to the presentation by the Ministry of Finance and the central bank, China, Japan and India were the country’s top three bilateral creditors, with China accounting for 52% in total, followed by Japan at 19.5% and India at 12%.

The Sri Lankan officials also pushed for the formation of an ad-hoc coordination group to expedite the process of obtaining financing assurances from multiple creditors. They explained that such a group would allow official bilateral creditors to give such assurances to the IMF collectively, after discussing the matter among themselves.

The Japanese Embassy in Colombo agreed that it is essential for all creditors to come to the table for debt restructuring discussions to ensure that the process is transparent and fair. “If all the creditor countries will participate in a coordination platform proposed by President Wickremesinghe, the government of Japan is ready to contribute to the discussion in a constructive way,” the embassy told Nikkei Asia.

But all eyes are on top creditor China, known for its preference for refinancing loans or deferring repayments rather than restructuring and settling for loss-making “haircuts.”

On the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly last week, Sri Lankan Foreign Minister Ali Sabry met his Chinese counterpart, Wang Yi, who pledged China’s support for a Sri Lankan economic recovery.

A Chinese Foreign Ministry readout of the meeting said that Wang promised China “is ready to work with Sri Lanka to carry forward the traditional friendship, consolidate strategic mutual trust and deepen and expand pragmatic cooperation.” He also said that China would “continue to offer assistance within our capacity to help Sri Lanka overcome temporary difficulties.”

Still, a highly placed Sri Lankan diplomatic source said that although debt discussions have started with some countries, it is “impossible” to say how long they will take and when a final decision will be made.

Source:Nikkei Asia