Revolting rupee dip sends prices high

The sharpest depreciation of the rupee following the free float of the currency ignited across the board prices hike with cost likely to soar further if Ceylon Petroleum Corporation revises upwards its pricing whilst the Central Bank said spikes are temporary and its recent moves will usher longer-term benefits and stability.

Of the announced hikes, most centred around food on the basis that producers will incur higher prices on account of imported flour and other ingredients would be costlier following the near 30% depreciation of the rupee.

Forex markets and the private sector saw continued uncertainty as at interbank level the US Dollar was quoted at between Rs. 260 and Rs. 280. Dealers said the highest-level transactions were done at Rs. 265. However CBSL continued to quote Telegraphic Transfer rates at Rs. 249.96 (buying) and Rs. 259.99 (Selling).

Prima said that One kilogram of Wheat Flour was increased by a price between Rs. 35 to Rs. 45 whilst the other producer Serendib increased it by Rs. 35.

The All Ceylon Bakery Owners’ Association said the price of a loaf of bread has been increased by between Rs. 20-30 and a loaf would cost between Rs. 110 and Rs. 130. The price of a sweet bun has been increased by Rs. 10.

The All Ceylon Restaurant Owners’ Association said the price of a rice packet has been increased by Rs. 20; Kottu by Rs. 10 and Short Eats by Rs. 5.

Separately the Civil Aviation Authority said the price of airline tickets has increased by 27%

The Ceylon Cellular Vendors Association said due to the increase of the dollar, the price of phones and accessories will be increased by 30%.

The hikes are coming as inflation hit a record 16.8% in January with food prices up 25%.

Prices are likely to go up further as State-owned Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC) under growing pressure to adjust its prices upward following global spikes. Lanka IOC revised its prices citing devaluation as well as rise in global prices. It increased diesel by Rs. 75 per litre and petrol by Rs. 50 per litre. Though losing Rs. 1,201 per litre of diesel, the CPC has avoided increases despite LIOC implementing two revisions within a month.

Even without CPC hike, three-wheelers drivers are demanding that the base fare for the first kilometre must be Rs. 80 up from Rs. 60 implemented in early this year.

Under flak from the Opposition and economists for sheer mismanagement and late decisions, Central Bank Governor Nivard Cabraal took to video and CBSL Facebook to reassure markets and the public.

“We are aware of the implications of these moves. It will be short term and greater stability will ensure long-term benefits to all,” he said.

Cabraal said that recent policy rates hike and allowing flexibility of the exchange rate (depreciation) were made in ensuring economic and financial system stability which are core responsibility of the CBSL. “These decisions are not avoidable,” he said in discharging CBSL’s duties.

Stressing that a flexible exchange regime will boost foreign exchange inflows thereby help stabilise the economy, Governor however stressed that “CBSL stands ready to meet any challenges post devaluation.”

Difficult and challenging times. Maintaining macroeconomic stability is an arduous task. CBSL initiated a host of measures amidst the COVID pandemic to cushion the impact. He said that the Russia-Ukraine war posed the biggest setback globally. In that context CBSL had to opt for new tools to ensure macroeconomic stability. They included hiking interest rates and introducing flexibility for the exchange rate.

CBSL Head of Economic Research Anil Perera said a managed exchange rate since the pandemic helped the country to mitigate the impact of global and local shocks to the economy. However support extended to the economy and the public by way CBSL actions needed to be relaxed to ensure greater stability and sustainability.

He said that reforms were required especially since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war and resultant spike in oil prices. He said depreciation will cause short term challenges such as rise in prices but expected stability in the currency will help.

“Foreign inflows will increase and exchange rate flexibility will boost exports whilst discouraging imports,” Perera said, adding that the CBSL will closely monitor the behaviour of forex markets and take appropriate action to ensure further stability if necessary.

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Renewable energy projects: Adani gets Mannar and Pooneryn

The Government last Friday (11) signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with India’s Adani Group allocating two large-scale renewable energy generation projects in Mannar and Pooneryn in the Northern Province to the company, The Sunday Morning learns.

The two renewable energy projects are to generate a combined capacity of an average of 500 MW while the value of both projects has been estimated at around $ 500 million.

The MoU with Adani was signed last Friday at the Finance Ministry soon after the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) signed a Joint Venture (JV) with India’s National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) to set up a 50 MW solar power park in Sampur in Trincomalee.

The MoU with Adani was signed by representatives of Adani Group, CEB, the Sustainable Energy Authority (SEA), and the Board of Investment (BOI).

State Ministry of Solar Power, Wind and Hydro Power Generation Projects Development Secretary K.H.D.K. Samarakoon confirmed to The Sunday Morning that agreements for the proposed renewable energy plants in Mannar and Pooneryn were signed with the Adani Group on Friday.

However, when asked for the value of the projects and the generation capacities of the two projects, Samarakoon said he was unaware of the exact details as he was not a signatory to the document.

When contacted, SEA Chairman Ranjith Sepala told The Sunday Morning that both projects had a combined generation capacity of around 500 MW and the value of both projects had been set as $ 500 million.

It is learnt that the Adani Group has informed the Government of its intentions of completing the proposed projects within a period of one year.

The Sunday Morning on 24 October and 5 December 2021 exclusively reported that the Adani Group was to invest in renewable energy projects in the Northern Province.

However, three key renewable energy generation projects in the North and Eastern Provinces have now been assigned to Indian investments.

Sri Lanka and India sign agreement to develop a solar power plant in Sampur

On 11 March, the High Commissioner of India to Sri Lanka, Gopal Baglay attended the signing ceremony of the Joint Venture & Shareholders’ Agreement (JVSHA) for the Trincomalee Power Company Limited (TPCL) which is a joint venture between NTPC Limited from India and the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) for developing a 100 MW Solar Power Plant at Sampur in Sri Lanka.

The signing ceremony took place at the Ministry of Finance of Sri Lanka in presence of the Minister of Finance, Basil Rajapaksa; Minister of Power, Hon. (Mrs.) Pavithradevi Wanniarachchi; State Minister of Aviation and Development of Export Zones, D.V. Chanaka; and State Minister of Solar, Wind and Hydro Power Generation Projects Development, Duminda Dissanayake. The signatories to this tripartite document included Narinder Mohan Gupta, Head of International Business Development, NTPC; M.M.C. Ferdinando, Chairman of the CEB; and N.S. Ilangakoon, Vice-chairman (CEB) and Chairman TPCL.

may be recalled that during the visit of Minister of Finance of Sri Lanka, Hon. Basil Rajapaksa, to India last year, both sides had resolved to enhance investments from India in various sectors in Sri Lanka that would contribute to growth and expand employment. The Sampur Solar Power Project is an important step in this direction.

Signing of this JVSHA demonstrates yet again, India’s ability to respond to Sri Lanka’s priorities in a comprehensive and mutually beneficial manner. We will continue to encourage and facilitate the expedited and effective implementation of this project.

India is committed to expanding the role of renewable energy and helping build cleaner, greener and climate-resilient societies. At the international level India has provided institutional solutions such as the International Solar Alliance and the Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure for Climate Adaptation. Our cooperation with Sri Lanka in this domain will only become stronger with the implementation of the US$ 100 million Line of Credit offered by India to Sri Lanka for the development of solar power projects in Sri Lanka. Similarly, there is significant interest in the private sector on both sides for cooperation in renewable energy which is likely to increase in the coming years.

India’s Western naval fleet visits Sri Lanka

In continuation of Indian Navy’s endeavor to build ‘Bridges of Friendship’, with the Sri Lankan navy, four ships of the Western Fleet of Indian Navy under the charge of Flag Officer Commanding Western Fleet (FOCWF), Rear Admiral Sameer Saxena, visited Sri Lanka from 09-12 March.

The indigenous guided missile frigate BRAHMAPUTRA along with frigate TALWAR entered Hambantota port while the advanced indigenous destroyer INS CHENNAI and frigate TEG entered Colombo harbor.

The ships were warmly welcomed in both these places by the Sri Lanka Navy in accordance with naval traditions.

The High Commissioner of India , Gopal Baglay hosted a reception onboard INS Chennai on 10 March 2022. Foreign Minister Prof G.L Peiris represented H.E Gotabaya Rajapaksa, President and Defence Minister of Sri Lanka, at the event. Parliament Speaker Mahinda Yapa Abeyawardena also graced the occasion.

Welcoming the guests, High Commissioner Gopal Baglay highlighted the importance of oceans and how they bind the two countries to achieve common prosperity, security and also health in the present scenario. He reiterated the commitment of the Government of India to stand shoulder to shoulder with Sri Lanka in addressing these common challenges. He also highlighted that Colombo Security Conclave is a significant initiative in this field and cooperation through the forum needs to be developed further.

In his remarks, FOCWF highlighted the historic bonds of friendship between the two navies and emphasized the need for cooperative efforts to ensure Security and Growth for All in the Region (SAGAR).

Lankan Foreign Minister Prof G.L Peiris lauded Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ‘Neighborhood First’ policy. He appreciated the fact that the Finance Minister of India had assured priority to Sri Lanka in the sphere of economic cooperation. Prof. Peiris also called for deeper people to people ties, development of ports and harbors, cooperation in oil and gas, tourism and increased investments from India. He further emphasized that the future of the world lies in Indo- Pacific and BIMSTEC region and thus, through platforms like IORA and Indian Ocean Conference, Sri Lanka will strive to establish a ‘Rule Based Order’ for continued peace in the region. He also welcomed more such visits by the Indian Navy in future.

On 10-11 March, FOCWF made courtesy calls on the Foreign Secretary, Chief of Defense Staff & Commander of Sri Lanka Army and Commander of Sri Lanka Navy. Further, the visiting ships carried out various mutually beneficial training activities with the Sri Lanka Navy and other social engagements.

The visit of the Western Fleet to Sri Lanka strengthens the close bonds of friendship between the two navies and helped achieve greater interoperability through the conduct of various activities in harbor and at sea as part of Maritime Partnership Exercise including Flying Operations, replenishment approaches and tactical manoeuvres.

PM says Ranil a good friend, but no national government

Amidst rising reports that a national government was being discussed between the Rajapaksa brothers and UNP Leader Ranil Wickremesinghe which would see President Gotabaya Rajapaksa as head of state and Wickremesinghe as the new Prime Minister, Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa yesterday firmly denied these reports saying such a matter was not discussed with the UNP.

In a meeting with some senior journalists at Temple Trees, Prime Minister Rajapaksa said that while Wickremesinghe and he were very good friends, their policies and political ideologies were different hence they could not work together in a joint government. Rajapaksa who was however of praise for Wickremesinghe also said that a national government, amidst the present crises, was not being discussed with any political parties and the government would resolve all the issues soon.

The Daily Mirror learns that proposals and recommendations by all political parties to address the present issues, will be discussed at an All Party Conference chaired by President Gotabaya Rajapaksa and Mahinda Rajapaksa, when they meet on March 23 at 10 pm.

All political party members have been told to attend the conference, where several issues will be discussed. Meanwhile. when questioned as to why he made a statement last week stating that the fuel shortage was artificially created, Prime Minister Rajapaksa said that at a time when former minister Udaya Gammanpila had made a public statement saying there was fuel to last only 4 days in the country, the Prime Minister had immediately telephoned the Chairman of the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation who informed him that ships with fuel had already docked at the Colombo Port.

The CPC Chairman had also informed the Prime Minister that they had the necessary funds to purchase the fuel and it was surprising that Gammanpila had made such a statement. However Gammanpila’s statement had caused panic among the public and excess buying which led to an immediate shortage at the fuel stations. He said this could have been avoided.

The Prime Minister further at the meeting yesterday said that the forex crisis was being looked into and soon the power and fuel crisis would also be resolved.

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Pope to meet Lankans in Europe on Easter attacks

A large meeting will be held soon in Vatican City with the participation of His Holiness Pope Francis, Archbishop of Colombo His Eminence Malcolm Cardinal Ranjith, and Sri Lankans living in European countries, where bringing justice to the victims of the Easter Sunday terror attacks of 21 April 2019 will be discussed.

Well-placed sources who spoke to The Morning yesterday (6) said that this meeting would not take place during the Archbishop’s ongoing visit to Vatican City, but will probably be scheduled after April and that Sri Lankans of all faiths in Italy and nearby countries are expected to attend the meeting.

“During the Cardinal’s recent visit to the Vatican, a group of Sri Lankans there had organised a discussion, but he did not attend. Instead, he plans to meet Sri Lankans with the Pope in the near future. The exact date of the meeting is yet to be determined, but it would most likely be after April,” the sources said.

The Colombo Archbishop met with Pope Francis on 28 February at the Vatican, and the Easter Sunday terror attacks and related investigations were discussed during the said meeting.

“We have exhausted all options within Sri Lanka to find justice. Now we are discussing all avenues through which we can find justice internationally. Our last remaining solution was to seek assistance from the international community. This is not because we do not love our country. The Archbishop is meeting the Pope after two years and he is especially focusing on informing him that we need help from the international community to seek justice for the victims of the Easter Sunday terror attacks,” National Catholic Social Communication Centre Director Rev. Cyril Gamini Fernando said at a press conference held on the same day.

Following the meeting with the Pope, Cardinal Ranjith met United Nations (UN) High Commissioner for Human Rights Michelle Bachelet in Geneva, Switzerland and discussed revealing the truth behind the Easter Sunday terror attacks and bringing justice to the victims on 2 March in an approximately 45-minute discussion.

“As we have informed earlier, we have tried all possible options to reveal the truth behind the Easter Sunday terror attacks and failing that, we have gone to the international community to request help from them to reveal the truth. Therefore, as a first step, the Archbishop met with the Pope and told him all about the attacks. He requested him to mediate in order to get the truth revealed. As a second step, the Archbishop met Bachelet and held discussions on revealing the truth behind the terror attacks and bringing justice to the victims,” Colombo Archdiocese Auxiliary Bishop Rev. J.D. Anthony said in a statement issued on 2 March.

Claiming that all attempts made by the Catholic church to obtain justice for Easter Sunday terror attacks within the country have failed, Cardinal Ranjith last month said that they were currently exploring the possibilities to reach out to the international community, including the UN, seeking justice for the said terror attacks.

Pointing out that they, as the Catholic church, have links all over the world, the Archbishop said that they would also try to influence some pertinent and powerful countries that are in contact with the church. In addition, he said that in case they would be reaching out to the international community, such efforts would also be supported by his fellow cardinals around the world.

On 21 April 2019, Easter Sunday, three churches (St. Sebastian’s Church in Katuwapitiya, St. Anthony’s Church in Kochchikade, and Zion Church in Batticaloa) and three luxury hotels in Colombo (Cinnamon Grand Colombo, The Kingsbury Colombo, and Shangri-La Colombo) were targeted in a series of co-ordinated suicide bombings. Later that day, another two bomb explosions took place at a house in Dematagoda and the Tropical Inn Lodge in Dehiwala. A total of 269 people excluding the bombers were killed in the bombings, including about 45 foreign nationals, while at least 500 were injured.

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India imposes tough conditions for US$ 1 billion loan

India has called for a road map from Sri Lanka on how it is going to overcome its economic crisis in the long term as well as to clear the decks for a long list of its economic cum strategic demands for implementation in the North and the East of Sri Lanka.

Till then the future of the one billion dollar emergency loan from India seems uncertain.

Finance Minister Basil Rajapaksa’s twice cancelled visit to India after securng a USD 500 million loan in December last year to clinch a further one billion dollar loan for emergency supplies of food, fuel and medicines to overcome the ongoing economic crisis in Sri Lanka is yet to be rescheduled. The December loan taken by Sri Lanka was also to be repaid this week.

The Sunday Times learns that the Indian Government is awaiting the green light from the Colombo Government on both fronts, i.e. the economic action plan aimed at long term recovery from the country’s foreign exchange and debt repayment crisis and to the Indian list of demands to start economic projects in Sri Lanka. Neither Colombo nor New Delhi has officially mentioned either so far.

The Indian demands involve a string of maritime security agreements that will strengthen India’s strategic interests, particularly around the eastern Trincomalee harbour. These include Donier surveillance aircraft for the Sri Lanka Air Force, a ship repair dock for the Sri Lanka Navy in Trincomalee and posting of a Sri Lankan Navy officer at the Intelligence Fusion Centre, a Bahrain-based intelligence sharing office which is a US Navy initiative to combat international terrorism, the narcotics trade and ensure safe maritime passage for commercial vessels in the region.

One of the key pressure-points from the Indian Government is to start a renewable energy (solar power) project in and around Sampur near Trincomalee. An earlier plan by India to begin a coal power project in joint partnership with Japan has now been abandoned as Sri Lanka announced a move away from coal plants as part of its futuristic energy policy.

The reopening of the Palay airport for commercial operations and several cultural projects in the Jaffna peninsula are also among items on the list already made public.

The Indian Government also wants to enter into the renewable energy field in the Delft islet after it scuttled a Chinese company securing the project following an Asian Development Bank ((ADB) tender procedure.

The one billion US dollar loan from India agreed to earlier in principle by the Indian Finance Ministry remains suspended for now, until guarantees are given from the Sri Lankan side, it is learnt.

The Indian High Commission said it did not want to comment on Finance Minister Rajapaksa’s visit as it was not formally announced that he was to visit New Delhi for a one billion dollar loan facility. Last week, however, the mission stated that the visit fixed for last week was rescheduled as Foreign Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar had to urgently visit Paris on official business.

Mr. Jaishankar was earlier due in Colombo on March 18, but the high commission remained tight-lipped on the visit taking place.

Political rumblings: Sixteen Government MPs to go independent

Sixteen parliamentarians from 10 political parties which form the governing alliance plan to sit independently in the House from next week, The Sunday Morning reliably learns.

The decision to sit independently was reached during a 10-party party leaders’ meeting held last Friday (4), a leader of a dissident group told The Sunday Morning.

Accordingly, the group of 16 will sit separately from the Government MPs, but will remain on the Government side of the House.

It is also learnt that the Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP), which has been raising a dissenting voice over the last year, will not join this move.

The move comes in the wake of last week’s Cabinet reshuffle, where President Gotabaya Rajapaksa sacked two key Cabinet Ministers – National Freedom Front (NFF) Leader Wimal Weerawansa and Pivithuru Hela Urumaya (PHU) Leader Udaya Gammanpila – who had criticised Government policies and called for a change in policy direction to avert a further crisis.

GL slams UNHRC report, but friendly countries say Lanka missed opportunity to brief members

The ‘interactive dialogue’ on Sri Lanka at the Human Rights Council in Geneva will end on Monday and the focus will then shift to its sessions in September when a new resolution is likely.

Monday’s continuation for less than an hour is the result of the Council making provision for an urgent debate on the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

UN Human Rights High Commissioner Michele Bachelet, who commented on her report on Sri Lanka that was released earlier, said “the past year has seen further obstruction and setbacks to accountability. Victims and their families continue to be denied truth and justice.”

The session on Sri Lanka was delayed and resultantly shortened. It was the because of the Council conducting an urgent debate on the situation in Ukraine.

Foreign Minister, G.L. Peiris, made a scathing attack saying that

the “so called evidence gathering mechanism” is deeply flawed procedure and unacceptable. He said that the Report on Sri Lanka is “intolerably intrusive character, impinging as it does no core functions and responsibilities of organs of Sri Lankan state, overwhelmingly mandated by the people at successive elections.”

In making those highly critical remarks, Foreign Minister Peiris has overlooked the fact that the Human Rights High Commissioner is only carrying out a mandate given to her by the Human Rights Council.

Diplomats from countries friendly with Sri Lanka said that the opportunity could have been better used to brief member, observer countries and NGOs who are drivers of the action against Sri Lanka. “This approach will make it difficult to help Sri Lanka. For instance, the EU countries awaited a briefing on amendments to the Prevention of Terrorism Act (PTA) with the future of GSP plus hanging in the balance,” said one diplomat.

A statement on behalf of the core group was made by Rita French, United Kingdom’s Global Ambassador for Human Rights and Deputy Permanent Representative to the United Nations. She expressed concern that surveillance and intimidation of civil society members and journalists continues.

The core group is made up of Canada, Germany, North Montenegro, Malawi, Montenegro, United Kingdom, and the United States.

India tells Lanka: Address “legitimate aspirations of Tamils”

India’s Permanent Representative to the United Nations in Geneva this week called on Sri Lanka to address the “legitimate aspirations of the Tamil community” in Sri Lanka.

The envoy, Indra Mani Pandey, did not elaborate what they were, except to say they included carrying forward the process of reconciliation and implementing the 13th Amendment to the Constitution.

“India believes it is in Sri Lanka’s own interest that the expectations of Tamils in Sri Lanka for equality, justice, peace and dignity, within a united Sri Lanka are fulfilled,” Mr. Pandey added.

The Indian delegation supported the UN High Commissioner’s report saying; “The report raises important concerns on promoting, reconciliation, accountability, and human rights in Sri Lanka”. India also called for early Provincial Council elections in Sri Lanka.

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Rajapaksa Govt drops to 10% approval rating in Verité poll

The government of Sri Lankan President Gotabaya Rajapaksa has a meagre 10% approval rating little over 2 years into his term, according to a poll by Verité Research.

The Colombo based think-tank recently launched a Gallup style “Mood of the Nation” poll in Sri Lanka to assess approval, satisfaction and confidence in relation to the government, the country and the economy.

Gallup is the most reputed polling organisation in the world. It runs a regular “Mood of the Nation” poll in the United States. Accordingly, Verité Research has adapted that same poll and scoring methodology to follow the pulse of the people in Sri Lanka.

The poll is based on an island wide nationally representative sample of responses from 1,021 Sri Lankan adults, conducted in January 2022. The sample and methodology were designed to ensure a maximum error margin of under 3% at a 95% confidence interval. The polling partner was Vanguard Survey (Pvt) Ltd.

Government approval rating | 10%

To the question, “Do you approve or disapprove of the way the current government is working?” only 10% said they approve.

Sri Lanka satisfaction | 6%

To the question, “In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in Sri Lanka?” only 6% said they were satisfied.

Economic confidence | negative (-) 82.96

Multiple choice questions on the condition and trajectory of the economy are used to generate an economic confidence score. The score can range from negative (-) 100 to positive (+) 100. A score above zero means more people see the economic conditions positively rather than negatively.

If everyone thinks the economy is in either excellent or good conditions, and everyone also thinks it is getting better the score will be positive (+) 100. If everyone thinks that the economy is in a poor condition, and everyone also thinks it is getting worse, the score will be a negative (-) 100.

The score is a negative (-) 83 because the average of those who thought the economy was in a poor condition, and those who thought it was getting worse, was 83%.